Now 2Expected 3.1UCL
- Top 8
- 93.26%
- Top 24
- 99.96%
- Winner
- 23.1%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 98.71%
- QF
- 76.11%
- SF
- 54.42%
- Final
- 37.14%
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SEASON 2026/27 RESEARCH PREDICTION · PROVISIONAL
Predictions
Compare where clubs and associations could finish.
- Sporting snapshot
- Generated
- Simulations
- 100,000
Previous prediction · Sporting data has changedThe previous complete prediction remains available.
Simple Elo reference · Research simulationChampions League
League-phase places & knockout progression
36 clubs · Expected = average final position · Top 24 includes Top 8
| Club | Now | Expected | Top 8 | Top 24 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3.1 | 93.26% | 99.96% | 98.71% | 76.11% | 54.42% | 37.14% | 23.1% | |
| 1 | 7 | 69.15% | 98.6% | 88.89% | 55.32% | 32.39% | 18.06% | 9.53% | |
| 15 | 7.04 | 69.45% | 98.33% | 89.1% | 56.84% | 34.11% | 19.56% | 10.41% | |
| — | 10.86 | 46.4% | 93.82% | 76.13% | 44.2% | 24.46% | 13.2% | 6.78% | |
| 3 | 11.15 | 44.58% | 93.27% | 72.44% | 38.62% | 19.69% | 9.68% | 4.76% | |
| 8 | 12.71 | 38.37% | 88.79% | 66.86% | 35.6% | 17.83% | 8.72% | 4.17% | |
| — | 13.49 | 34.39% | 87.26% | 63.52% | 32.41% | 15.95% | 7.69% | 3.63% | |
| — | 13.56 | 34.61% | 86.71% | 63.03% | 32.53% | 16.12% | 7.8% | 3.77% | |
| — | 14.44 | 30.82% | 84.27% | 56.17% | 23.74% | 9.1% | 3.26% | 1.16% | |
| 4 | 14.85 | 29.12% | 82.98% | 56.42% | 26.4% | 11.9% | 5.22% | 2.34% | |
| — | 14.96 | 28.74% | 83.05% | 55.69% | 25.12% | 10.64% | 4.17% | 1.67% | |
| 16 | 15.51 | 26.72% | 80.95% | 53.46% | 23.8% | 10.01% | 3.93% | 1.56% | |
| 12 | 15.53 | 26.52% | 81.04% | 54.08% | 25.03% | 11.28% | 4.93% | 2.27% | |
| — | 15.56 | 25.21% | 81.48% | 55.99% | 28.62% | 14.13% | 6.79% | 3.24% | |
| 31 | 15.83 | 24.21% | 81.13% | 58.58% | 32.18% | 17.14% | 8.99% | 4.51% | |
| — | 15.97 | 24.63% | 79.9% | 50.29% | 20.68% | 7.79% | 2.66% | 0.92% | |
| — | 18.32 | 17.22% | 71.25% | 48.57% | 25.77% | 13.36% | 6.78% | 3.32% | |
| — | 19.16 | 14.67% | 68.07% | 41.41% | 18.94% | 8.52% | 3.66% | 1.71% | |
| — | 19.64 | 13.84% | 65.95% | 38.35% | 15.79% | 6.23% | 2.25% | 0.8% | |
| — | 19.67 | 12.07% | 67.32% | 35.8% | 12.6% | 4.15% | 1.2% | 0.36% | |
| — | 19.91 | 13.33% | 65.05% | 41.05% | 20.08% | 9.59% | 4.51% | 2.09% | |
| — | 20.6 | 11.95% | 62.05% | 39.21% | 19.5% | 9.6% | 4.56% | 2.16% | |
| 36 | 21.15 | 10.59% | 59.84% | 34.92% | 15.55% | 6.95% | 2.94% | 1.25% | |
| 33 | 22.18 | 8.56% | 55.15% | 30.42% | 12.28% | 4.77% | 1.68% | 0.62% | |
| — | 22.32 | 8.4% | 54.26% | 31.09% | 13.91% | 6.14% | 2.67% | 1.17% | |
| — | 22.93 | 7.47% | 51.52% | 29.29% | 13.21% | 5.73% | 2.39% | 1.01% | |
| 32 | 23.04 | 7.33% | 50.99% | 26.62% | 9.91% | 3.51% | 1.12% | 0.34% | |
| 35 | 23.16 | 7.24% | 50.61% | 24.88% | 7.76% | 2.29% | 0.57% | 0.14% | |
| 5 | 24.07 | 3.75% | 46.59% | 14.41% | 2.41% | 0.33% | 0.03% | <0.01% | |
| — | 24.1 | 5.28% | 46.49% | 23.29% | 8.41% | 2.93% | 0.9% | 0.27% | |
| — | 25.82 | 2.91% | 38.13% | 19.56% | 7.95% | 3.15% | 1.19% | 0.4% | |
| — | 26.03 | 2.72% | 37.07% | 17.98% | 6.55% | 2.35% | 0.78% | 0.24% | |
| 34 | 26.04 | 2.9% | 37.18% | 14.9% | 3.67% | 0.86% | 0.18% | 0.04% | |
| 21 | 27.3 | 1.7% | 30.68% | 11.46% | 2.64% | 0.61% | 0.11% | 0.03% | |
| — | 27.47 | 1.76% | 29.86% | 14.39% | 5.31% | 1.9% | 0.65% | 0.23% | |
| — | 31.55 | 0.15% | 10.4% | 3.03% | 0.58% | 0.09% | 0.01% | <0.01% |
Now 1Expected 7UCL
- Top 8
- 69.15%
- Top 24
- 98.6%
- Winner
- 9.53%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 88.89%
- QF
- 55.32%
- SF
- 32.39%
- Final
- 18.06%
Now 15Expected 7.04UCL
- Top 8
- 69.45%
- Top 24
- 98.33%
- Winner
- 10.41%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 89.1%
- QF
- 56.84%
- SF
- 34.11%
- Final
- 19.56%
Now —Expected 10.86UCL
- Top 8
- 46.4%
- Top 24
- 93.82%
- Winner
- 6.78%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 76.13%
- QF
- 44.2%
- SF
- 24.46%
- Final
- 13.2%
Now 3Expected 11.15UCL
- Top 8
- 44.58%
- Top 24
- 93.27%
- Winner
- 4.76%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 72.44%
- QF
- 38.62%
- SF
- 19.69%
- Final
- 9.68%
Now 8Expected 12.71UCL
- Top 8
- 38.37%
- Top 24
- 88.79%
- Winner
- 4.17%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 66.86%
- QF
- 35.6%
- SF
- 17.83%
- Final
- 8.72%
Now —Expected 13.49UCL
- Top 8
- 34.39%
- Top 24
- 87.26%
- Winner
- 3.63%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 63.52%
- QF
- 32.41%
- SF
- 15.95%
- Final
- 7.69%
Now —Expected 13.56UCL
- Top 8
- 34.61%
- Top 24
- 86.71%
- Winner
- 3.77%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 63.03%
- QF
- 32.53%
- SF
- 16.12%
- Final
- 7.8%
Now —Expected 14.44UCL
- Top 8
- 30.82%
- Top 24
- 84.27%
- Winner
- 1.16%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 56.17%
- QF
- 23.74%
- SF
- 9.1%
- Final
- 3.26%
Now 4Expected 14.85UCL
- Top 8
- 29.12%
- Top 24
- 82.98%
- Winner
- 2.34%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 56.42%
- QF
- 26.4%
- SF
- 11.9%
- Final
- 5.22%
Now —Expected 14.96UCL
- Top 8
- 28.74%
- Top 24
- 83.05%
- Winner
- 1.67%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 55.69%
- QF
- 25.12%
- SF
- 10.64%
- Final
- 4.17%
Now 16Expected 15.51UCL
- Top 8
- 26.72%
- Top 24
- 80.95%
- Winner
- 1.56%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 53.46%
- QF
- 23.8%
- SF
- 10.01%
- Final
- 3.93%
Now 12Expected 15.53UCL
- Top 8
- 26.52%
- Top 24
- 81.04%
- Winner
- 2.27%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 54.08%
- QF
- 25.03%
- SF
- 11.28%
- Final
- 4.93%
Now —Expected 15.56UCL
- Top 8
- 25.21%
- Top 24
- 81.48%
- Winner
- 3.24%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 55.99%
- QF
- 28.62%
- SF
- 14.13%
- Final
- 6.79%
Now 31Expected 15.83UCL
- Top 8
- 24.21%
- Top 24
- 81.13%
- Winner
- 4.51%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 58.58%
- QF
- 32.18%
- SF
- 17.14%
- Final
- 8.99%
Now —Expected 15.97UCL
- Top 8
- 24.63%
- Top 24
- 79.9%
- Winner
- 0.92%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 50.29%
- QF
- 20.68%
- SF
- 7.79%
- Final
- 2.66%
Now —Expected 18.32UCL
- Top 8
- 17.22%
- Top 24
- 71.25%
- Winner
- 3.32%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 48.57%
- QF
- 25.77%
- SF
- 13.36%
- Final
- 6.78%
Now —Expected 19.16UCL
- Top 8
- 14.67%
- Top 24
- 68.07%
- Winner
- 1.71%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 41.41%
- QF
- 18.94%
- SF
- 8.52%
- Final
- 3.66%
Now —Expected 19.64UCL
- Top 8
- 13.84%
- Top 24
- 65.95%
- Winner
- 0.8%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 38.35%
- QF
- 15.79%
- SF
- 6.23%
- Final
- 2.25%
Now —Expected 19.67UCL
- Top 8
- 12.07%
- Top 24
- 67.32%
- Winner
- 0.36%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 35.8%
- QF
- 12.6%
- SF
- 4.15%
- Final
- 1.2%
Now —Expected 19.91UCL
- Top 8
- 13.33%
- Top 24
- 65.05%
- Winner
- 2.09%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 41.05%
- QF
- 20.08%
- SF
- 9.59%
- Final
- 4.51%
Now —Expected 20.6UCL
- Top 8
- 11.95%
- Top 24
- 62.05%
- Winner
- 2.16%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 39.21%
- QF
- 19.5%
- SF
- 9.6%
- Final
- 4.56%
Now 36Expected 21.15UCL
- Top 8
- 10.59%
- Top 24
- 59.84%
- Winner
- 1.25%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 34.92%
- QF
- 15.55%
- SF
- 6.95%
- Final
- 2.94%
Now 33Expected 22.18UCL
- Top 8
- 8.56%
- Top 24
- 55.15%
- Winner
- 0.62%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 30.42%
- QF
- 12.28%
- SF
- 4.77%
- Final
- 1.68%
Now —Expected 22.32UCL
- Top 8
- 8.4%
- Top 24
- 54.26%
- Winner
- 1.17%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 31.09%
- QF
- 13.91%
- SF
- 6.14%
- Final
- 2.67%
Now —Expected 22.93UCL
- Top 8
- 7.47%
- Top 24
- 51.52%
- Winner
- 1.01%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 29.29%
- QF
- 13.21%
- SF
- 5.73%
- Final
- 2.39%
Now 32Expected 23.04UCL
- Top 8
- 7.33%
- Top 24
- 50.99%
- Winner
- 0.34%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 26.62%
- QF
- 9.91%
- SF
- 3.51%
- Final
- 1.12%
Now 35Expected 23.16UCL
- Top 8
- 7.24%
- Top 24
- 50.61%
- Winner
- 0.14%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 24.88%
- QF
- 7.76%
- SF
- 2.29%
- Final
- 0.57%
Now 5Expected 24.07UCL
- Top 8
- 3.75%
- Top 24
- 46.59%
- Winner
- <0.01%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 14.41%
- QF
- 2.41%
- SF
- 0.33%
- Final
- 0.03%
Now —Expected 24.1UCL
- Top 8
- 5.28%
- Top 24
- 46.49%
- Winner
- 0.27%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 23.29%
- QF
- 8.41%
- SF
- 2.93%
- Final
- 0.9%
Now —Expected 25.82UCL
- Top 8
- 2.91%
- Top 24
- 38.13%
- Winner
- 0.4%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 19.56%
- QF
- 7.95%
- SF
- 3.15%
- Final
- 1.19%
Now —Expected 26.03UCL
- Top 8
- 2.72%
- Top 24
- 37.07%
- Winner
- 0.24%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 17.98%
- QF
- 6.55%
- SF
- 2.35%
- Final
- 0.78%
Now 34Expected 26.04UCL
- Top 8
- 2.9%
- Top 24
- 37.18%
- Winner
- 0.04%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 14.9%
- QF
- 3.67%
- SF
- 0.86%
- Final
- 0.18%
Now 21Expected 27.3UCL
- Top 8
- 1.7%
- Top 24
- 30.68%
- Winner
- 0.03%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 11.46%
- QF
- 2.64%
- SF
- 0.61%
- Final
- 0.11%
Now —Expected 27.47UCL
- Top 8
- 1.76%
- Top 24
- 29.86%
- Winner
- 0.23%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 14.39%
- QF
- 5.31%
- SF
- 1.9%
- Final
- 0.65%
Now —Expected 31.55UCL
- Top 8
- 0.15%
- Top 24
- 10.4%
- Winner
- <0.01%
Knockout progression
- R16
- 3.03%
- QF
- 0.58%
- SF
- 0.09%
- Final
- 0.01%