2026/27

Predictions

Data through: 28 Oct 2026 · 12:51 UTC
Generated: 28 Oct 2026 · 14:06 UTC

Multi-match What-if2026/27 · Up to 8 league-phase matches

Previous prediction · Sporting data has changedThe last complete snapshot is shown.

Association outlook

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Associations prediction comparison. Probabilities are percentages, not guarantees.
Association	Now	Projected	Expected 5Y	Improve	Same	Worsen	Chance of finishing in Top 5	Chance of finishing in Top 10	Chance of finishing in Top 12	Chance of finishing in Top 15
England Most likely #1 Current 5Y 106.463	1	#1	124.275	0%	100%	0%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Italy Most likely #2 Current 5Y 90.732	2	#2	102.682	0%	92.43%	7.57%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Spain Most likely #3 Current 5Y 85.868	3	#3	97.696	4.97%	58.67%	36.36%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Germany Most likely #4 Current 5Y 83.973	4	#4	96.647	37.24%	62.76%	0%	100%	100%	100%	100%
France Most likely #5 Current 5Y 71.010	5	#5	81.772	0%	81.2%	18.8%	81.2%	100%	100%	100%
Portugal Most likely #6 Current 5Y 67.350	6	#6	79.046	18.62%	76.77%	4.61%	18.62%	100%	100%	100%
Belgium Most likely #7 Current 5Y 62.450	7	#7	73.266	4.76%	94.45%	0.8%	0.18%	100%	100%	100%
Netherlands Most likely #8 Current 5Y 55.395	8	#8	65.321	0.8%	96.79%	2.42%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Turkey Most likely #9 Current 5Y 52.275	9	#9	59.400	2.42%	96.27%	1.31%	0%	99.99%	100%	100%
Greece Most likely #10 Current 5Y 46.612	10	#10	53.494	1.25%	86.85%	11.9%	0%	88.11%	99.87%	100%
Czechia Most likely #11 Current 5Y 45.725	11	#11	49.616	3.47%	41.83%	54.69%	0%	3.47%	80.69%	100%
Denmark Most likely #11 Current 5Y 40.056	14	#12	48.961	82.23%	17.58%	0.19%	0%	7.15%	58.43%	100%
Poland Most likely #13 Current 5Y 45.725	12	#13	48.481	17.07%	31.45%	51.48%	0%	1.1%	48.52%	100%
Norway Most likely #14 Current 5Y 40.212	13	#14	46.432	12.49%	19.11%	68.4%	0%	0.19%	12.49%	100%
Cyprus Most likely #15 Current 5Y 35.443	15	#15	40.079	0.78%	97.47%	1.75%	0%	0%	<0.01%	98.25%
Switzerland Most likely #16 Current 5Y 31.200	16	#16	35.335	1.63%	77.21%	21.16%	0%	0%	0%	1.63%
Austria Most likely #17 Current 5Y 29.250	17	#17	32.932	9.95%	35.85%	54.2%	0%	0%	0%	0.08%
Hungary Most likely #18 Current 5Y 28.812	18	#18	32.649	35.8%	39.76%	24.44%	0%	0%	0%	<0.01%
Croatia Most likely #19 Current 5Y 27.406	19	#19	31.855	45.66%	47.55%	6.79%	0%	0%	0%	0.04%
Scotland Most likely #20 Current 5Y 26.450	21	#20	28.330	38.31%	32.02%	29.66%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Sweden Most likely #22 Current 5Y 26.500	20	#21	27.846	1.19%	21.3%	77.51%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Romania Most likely #22 Current 5Y 25.625	22	#22	27.741	45.65%	23.22%	31.14%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Ukraine Most likely #23 Current 5Y 24.837	23	#23	26.753	32.16%	27.01%	40.83%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Bulgaria Most likely #24 Current 5Y 21.562	28	#24	25.660	90.27%	8.32%	1.41%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Israel Most likely #25 Current 5Y 24.125	25	#25	25.529	35.77%	31.6%	32.63%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Azerbaijan Most likely #26 Current 5Y 24.187	24	#26	25.199	8.69%	13.91%	77.4%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Slovenia Most likely #27 Current 5Y 23.093	26	#27	24.561	22.05%	17.77%	60.18%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Slovakia Most likely #28 Current 5Y 22.375	27	#28	23.242	2.6%	12.74%	84.66%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Serbia Most likely #29 Current 5Y 18.500	29	#29	21.405	13.29%	85.49%	1.22%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Russia Most likely #30 Current 5Y 17.332	30	#30	17.332	0%	47.11%	52.89%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Iceland Most likely #32 Current 5Y 17.020	31	#31	17.020	0%	25.32%	74.68%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Armenia Most likely #33 Current 5Y 15.812	33	#32	16.902	48.61%	26.27%	25.12%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina Most likely #30 Current 5Y 14.468	34	#33	16.783	57.15%	13.83%	29.02%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Republic of Ireland Most likely #34 Current 5Y 16.343	32	#34	16.343	0%	3.71%	96.29%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Latvia Most likely #35 Current 5Y 14.375	35	#35	16.308	53.7%	37.61%	8.69%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Finland Most likely #36 Current 5Y 13.625	37	#36	14.544	76.76%	19.83%	3.41%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Kosovo Most likely #37 Current 5Y 14.031	36	#37	14.031	0%	12.53%	87.47%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Kazakhstan Most likely #38 Current 5Y 12.625	38	#38	13.482	17.01%	78.1%	4.89%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Albania Most likely #39 Current 5Y 9.500	42	#39	11.120	89.19%	8.08%	2.74%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Liechtenstein Most likely #40 Current 5Y 11.000	39	#40	11.000	0%	45.79%	54.21%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Moldova Most likely #41 Current 5Y 10.250	40	#41	10.250	0%	16.83%	83.17%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Faroe Islands Most likely #42 Current 5Y 9.875	41	#42	9.875	0%	5.04%	94.97%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Andorra Most likely #43 Current 5Y 7.832	46	#43	9.147	68.71%	17.92%	13.38%	0%	0%	0%	0%
North Macedonia Most likely #44 Current 5Y 8.967	43	#44	8.967	0%	39.81%	60.19%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Belarus Most likely #45 Current 5Y 8.708	44	#45	8.708	0%	17.92%	82.08%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Lithuania Most likely #46 Current 5Y 8.125	45	#46	8.699	28.22%	19.19%	52.58%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Gibraltar Most likely #47 Current 5Y 7.207	48	#47	8.225	73.65%	18.08%	8.27%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Malta Most likely #48 Current 5Y 7.625	47	#48	7.625	0%	17.85%	82.15%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Georgia Most likely #49 Current 5Y 6.750	50	#49	7.362	65.99%	34.01%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Estonia Most likely #50 Current 5Y 7.041	49	#50	7.041	0%	34.01%	65.99%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Northern Ireland Most likely #51 Current 5Y 6.625	51	#51	6.625	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Luxembourg Most likely #52 Current 5Y 6.250	52	#52	6.250	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Montenegro Most likely #53 Current 5Y 5.833	53	#53	5.833	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Wales Most likely #54 Current 5Y 4.499	54	#54	4.499	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
San Marino Most likely #55 Current 5Y 2.998	55	#55	2.998	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

England

Now 1Projected #1Expected 5Y 124.275

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 0%
Same: 100%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #1

Current 5Y 106.463

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Italy

Now 2Projected #2Expected 5Y 102.682

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 0%
Same: 92.43%
Worsen: 7.57%

Most likely #2

Current 5Y 90.732

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Spain

Now 3Projected #3Expected 5Y 97.696

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 4.97%
Same: 58.67%
Worsen: 36.36%

Most likely #3

Current 5Y 85.868

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Germany

Now 4Projected #4Expected 5Y 96.647

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 37.24%
Same: 62.76%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #4

Current 5Y 83.973

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

France

Now 5Projected #5Expected 5Y 81.772

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 0%
Same: 81.2%
Worsen: 18.8%

Most likely #5

Current 5Y 71.010

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 81.2%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Portugal

Now 6Projected #6Expected 5Y 79.046

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 18.62%
Same: 76.77%
Worsen: 4.61%

Most likely #6

Current 5Y 67.350

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 18.62%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Belgium

Now 7Projected #7Expected 5Y 73.266

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 4.76%
Same: 94.45%
Worsen: 0.8%

Most likely #7

Current 5Y 62.450

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0.18%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Netherlands

Now 8Projected #8Expected 5Y 65.321

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Improve: 0.8%
Same: 96.79%
Worsen: 2.42%

Most likely #8

Current 5Y 55.395

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Turkey

Now 9Projected #9Expected 5Y 59.400

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 99.99%
Improve: 2.42%
Same: 96.27%
Worsen: 1.31%

Most likely #9

Current 5Y 52.275

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 99.99%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 100%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Greece

Now 10Projected #10Expected 5Y 53.494

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 88.11%
Improve: 1.25%
Same: 86.85%
Worsen: 11.9%

Most likely #10

Current 5Y 46.612

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 88.11%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 99.87%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Czechia

Now 11Projected #11Expected 5Y 49.616

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 3.47%
Improve: 3.47%
Same: 41.83%
Worsen: 54.69%

Most likely #11

Current 5Y 45.725

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 3.47%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 80.69%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Denmark

Now 14Projected #12Expected 5Y 48.961

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 7.15%
Improve: 82.23%
Same: 17.58%
Worsen: 0.19%

Most likely #11

Current 5Y 40.056

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 7.15%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 58.43%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Poland

Now 12Projected #13Expected 5Y 48.481

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 1.1%
Improve: 17.07%
Same: 31.45%
Worsen: 51.48%

Most likely #13

Current 5Y 45.725

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 1.1%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 48.52%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Norway

Now 13Projected #14Expected 5Y 46.432

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0.19%
Improve: 12.49%
Same: 19.11%
Worsen: 68.4%

Most likely #14

Current 5Y 40.212

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0.19%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 12.49%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 100%

Cyprus

Now 15Projected #15Expected 5Y 40.079

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0.78%
Same: 97.47%
Worsen: 1.75%

Most likely #15

Current 5Y 35.443

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: <0.01%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 98.25%

Switzerland

Now 16Projected #16Expected 5Y 35.335

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 1.63%
Same: 77.21%
Worsen: 21.16%

Most likely #16

Current 5Y 31.200

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 1.63%

Austria

Now 17Projected #17Expected 5Y 32.932

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 9.95%
Same: 35.85%
Worsen: 54.2%

Most likely #17

Current 5Y 29.250

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0.08%

Hungary

Now 18Projected #18Expected 5Y 32.649

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 35.8%
Same: 39.76%
Worsen: 24.44%

Most likely #18

Current 5Y 28.812

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: <0.01%

Croatia

Now 19Projected #19Expected 5Y 31.855

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 45.66%
Same: 47.55%
Worsen: 6.79%

Most likely #19

Current 5Y 27.406

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0.04%

Scotland

Now 21Projected #20Expected 5Y 28.330

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 38.31%
Same: 32.02%
Worsen: 29.66%

Most likely #20

Current 5Y 26.450

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Sweden

Now 20Projected #21Expected 5Y 27.846

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 1.19%
Same: 21.3%
Worsen: 77.51%

Most likely #22

Current 5Y 26.500

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Romania

Now 22Projected #22Expected 5Y 27.741

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 45.65%
Same: 23.22%
Worsen: 31.14%

Most likely #22

Current 5Y 25.625

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Ukraine

Now 23Projected #23Expected 5Y 26.753

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 32.16%
Same: 27.01%
Worsen: 40.83%

Most likely #23

Current 5Y 24.837

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Bulgaria

Now 28Projected #24Expected 5Y 25.660

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 90.27%
Same: 8.32%
Worsen: 1.41%

Most likely #24

Current 5Y 21.562

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Israel

Now 25Projected #25Expected 5Y 25.529

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 35.77%
Same: 31.6%
Worsen: 32.63%

Most likely #25

Current 5Y 24.125

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Azerbaijan

Now 24Projected #26Expected 5Y 25.199

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 8.69%
Same: 13.91%
Worsen: 77.4%

Most likely #26

Current 5Y 24.187

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Slovenia

Now 26Projected #27Expected 5Y 24.561

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 22.05%
Same: 17.77%
Worsen: 60.18%

Most likely #27

Current 5Y 23.093

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Slovakia

Now 27Projected #28Expected 5Y 23.242

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 2.6%
Same: 12.74%
Worsen: 84.66%

Most likely #28

Current 5Y 22.375

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Serbia

Now 29Projected #29Expected 5Y 21.405

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 13.29%
Same: 85.49%
Worsen: 1.22%

Most likely #29

Current 5Y 18.500

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Russia

Now 30Projected #30Expected 5Y 17.332

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 47.11%
Worsen: 52.89%

Most likely #30

Current 5Y 17.332

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Iceland

Now 31Projected #31Expected 5Y 17.020

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 25.32%
Worsen: 74.68%

Most likely #32

Current 5Y 17.020

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Armenia

Now 33Projected #32Expected 5Y 16.902

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 48.61%
Same: 26.27%
Worsen: 25.12%

Most likely #33

Current 5Y 15.812

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Now 34Projected #33Expected 5Y 16.783

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 57.15%
Same: 13.83%
Worsen: 29.02%

Most likely #30

Current 5Y 14.468

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Republic of Ireland

Now 32Projected #34Expected 5Y 16.343

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 3.71%
Worsen: 96.29%

Most likely #34

Current 5Y 16.343

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Latvia

Now 35Projected #35Expected 5Y 16.308

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 53.7%
Same: 37.61%
Worsen: 8.69%

Most likely #35

Current 5Y 14.375

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Finland

Now 37Projected #36Expected 5Y 14.544

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 76.76%
Same: 19.83%
Worsen: 3.41%

Most likely #36

Current 5Y 13.625

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Kosovo

Now 36Projected #37Expected 5Y 14.031

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 12.53%
Worsen: 87.47%

Most likely #37

Current 5Y 14.031

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Kazakhstan

Now 38Projected #38Expected 5Y 13.482

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 17.01%
Same: 78.1%
Worsen: 4.89%

Most likely #38

Current 5Y 12.625

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Albania

Now 42Projected #39Expected 5Y 11.120

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 89.19%
Same: 8.08%
Worsen: 2.74%

Most likely #39

Current 5Y 9.500

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Liechtenstein

Now 39Projected #40Expected 5Y 11.000

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 45.79%
Worsen: 54.21%

Most likely #40

Current 5Y 11.000

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Moldova

Now 40Projected #41Expected 5Y 10.250

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 16.83%
Worsen: 83.17%

Most likely #41

Current 5Y 10.250

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Faroe Islands

Now 41Projected #42Expected 5Y 9.875

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 5.04%
Worsen: 94.97%

Most likely #42

Current 5Y 9.875

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Andorra

Now 46Projected #43Expected 5Y 9.147

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 68.71%
Same: 17.92%
Worsen: 13.38%

Most likely #43

Current 5Y 7.832

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

North Macedonia

Now 43Projected #44Expected 5Y 8.967

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 39.81%
Worsen: 60.19%

Most likely #44

Current 5Y 8.967

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Belarus

Now 44Projected #45Expected 5Y 8.708

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 17.92%
Worsen: 82.08%

Most likely #45

Current 5Y 8.708

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Lithuania

Now 45Projected #46Expected 5Y 8.699

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 28.22%
Same: 19.19%
Worsen: 52.58%

Most likely #46

Current 5Y 8.125

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Gibraltar

Now 48Projected #47Expected 5Y 8.225

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 73.65%
Same: 18.08%
Worsen: 8.27%

Most likely #47

Current 5Y 7.207

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Malta

Now 47Projected #48Expected 5Y 7.625

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 17.85%
Worsen: 82.15%

Most likely #48

Current 5Y 7.625

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Georgia

Now 50Projected #49Expected 5Y 7.362

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 65.99%
Same: 34.01%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #49

Current 5Y 6.750

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Estonia

Now 49Projected #50Expected 5Y 7.041

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 34.01%
Worsen: 65.99%

Most likely #50

Current 5Y 7.041

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Northern Ireland

Now 51Projected #51Expected 5Y 6.625

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 100%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #51

Current 5Y 6.625

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Luxembourg

Now 52Projected #52Expected 5Y 6.250

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 100%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #52

Current 5Y 6.250

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Montenegro

Now 53Projected #53Expected 5Y 5.833

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 100%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #53

Current 5Y 5.833

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

Wales

Now 54Projected #54Expected 5Y 4.499

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 100%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #54

Current 5Y 4.499

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

San Marino

Now 55Projected #55Expected 5Y 2.998

Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Improve: 0%
Same: 100%
Worsen: 0%

Most likely #55

Current 5Y 2.998

Chance of finishing in Top 5: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 10: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 12: 0%
Chance of finishing in Top 15: 0%

How has the association outlook changed?

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Since last accepted update

Previous update · 25 Oct 2026 → 28 Oct 2026

Average five-year rank: 53 → 530.0
European Performance Spot: 0% → 0%0.0 pp

Based on compatible published predictions.

Changes by finishing position

Finishing chances before and after the update
Position	Before	Now
#1	0%	0%
#2	0%	0%
#3	0%	0%
#4	0%	0%
#5	0%	0%
#6	0%	0%
#7	0%	0%
#8	0%	0%
#9	0%	0%
#10	0%	0%
#11	0%	0%
#12	0%	0%
#13	0%	0%
#14	0%	0%
#15	0%	0%
#16	0%	0%
#17	0%	0%
#18	0%	0%
#19	0%	0%
#20	0%	0%
#21	0%	0%
#22	0%	0%
#23	0%	0%
#24	0%	0%
#25	0%	0%
#26	0%	0%
#27	0%	0%
#28	0%	0%
#29	0%	0%
#30	0%	0%
#31	0%	0%
#32	0%	0%
#33	0%	0%
#34	0%	0%
#35	0%	0%
#36	0%	0%
#37	0%	0%
#38	0%	0%
#39	0%	0%
#40	0%	0%
#41	0%	0%
#42	0%	0%
#43	0%	0%
#44	0%	0%
#45	0%	0%
#46	0%	0%
#47	0%	0%
#48	0%	0%
#49	0%	0%
#50	0%	0%
#51	0%	0%
#52	0%	0%
#53	100%	100%
#54	0%	0%
#55	0%	0%

Forecast details

Estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Interpretation: Estimates, not guarantees.
Simulations: 100,000
Discipline data through: 28 Oct 2026 · 12:51 UTC
Snapshot ID: 7ffc8344-0b33-431d-9164-763470184936

Team-official discipline is partially approximated.

How predictions work

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Association outlook

How has the association outlook changed?