Club coefficient144.5002021/22–2025/26 · Preseason reference
2026/27 · League phase3 W 0 D 0 LRecord from 3 loaded completed matches
Spain contribution2026/27 · Current European campaign
1.500League-phase entry+0.750
Win vs Inter Milan+0.250
Win vs Inter Milan+0.250Predictions
UCL · 2026/27
Remaining matches
2026/27
Data:
Single-match chances for Real Madrid from the selected simulation snapshot.
- Listed away · Venue unconfirmed
AEK Athens · Listed homeReal Madrid · Listed away- Win
- 69.71%
- Draw
- 16.71%
- Loss
- 13.58%
- xPTS
- 2.26
- Listed home · Venue unconfirmedReal Madrid · Listed home
PSV Eindhoven · Listed away- Win
- 54.21%
- Draw
- 19.27%
- Loss
- 26.52%
- xPTS
- 1.82
- Listed away · Venue unconfirmed
Arsenal · Listed homeReal Madrid · Listed away- Win
- 25.76%
- Draw
- 24.3%
- Loss
- 49.94%
- xPTS
- 1.02
- Listed home · Venue unconfirmedReal Madrid · Listed home
LASK · Listed away- Win
- 79.62%
- Draw
- 12.42%
- Loss
- 7.96%
- xPTS
- 2.51
- Listed away · Venue unconfirmed
Shakhtar Donetsk · Listed homeReal Madrid · Listed away- Win
- 60.63%
- Draw
- 20.17%
- Loss
- 19.21%
- xPTS
- 2.02
- Expected league-phase points (xPTS)
- 18.63
Where is Real Madrid likely to finish in the league phase?
UCL · Predictions
89% chance of a Top 8 finish — straight to the round of 16.
Simulated seasons (%)
Most likely finish1st · 22.1%
Average finishAbout 4th
Final league-phase finish position
About 8 in 10 finish 1st–7th
Forecast details
Exact average: 4.22382
1st–7th covers 84.863% of simulations. A shortest consecutive range covering at least 80%; the average combines all outcomes.
ClubRanker Predictions · 100,000 simulations
Sporting snapshot:
Generated:
Run 7ffc8344-0b33-431d-9164-763470184936
Zero occurrences means not observed in these simulations, not mathematically impossible.
Team-official disciplinary data is partially approximated.
| Position | Chance | Simulated seasons |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 22.087% | 22,087 |
| 2nd | 17.66% | 17,660 |
| 3rd | 13.74% | 13,740 |
| 4th | 10.894% | 10,894 |
| 5th | 8.617% | 8,617 |
| 6th | 6.734% | 6,734 |
| 7th | 5.131% | 5,131 |
| 8th | 4.077% | 4,077 |
| 9th | 3.003% | 3,003 |
| 10th | 2.141% | 2,141 |
| 11th | 1.616% | 1,616 |
| 12th | 1.168% | 1,168 |
| 13th | 0.871% | 871 |
| 14th | 0.69% | 690 |
| 15th | 0.48% | 480 |
| 16th | 0.316% | 316 |
| 17th | 0.251% | 251 |
| 18th | 0.172% | 172 |
| 19th | 0.116% | 116 |
| 20th | 0.074% | 74 |
| 21st | 0.061% | 61 |
| 22nd | 0.04% | 40 |
| 23rd | 0.02% | 20 |
| 24th | 0.02% | 20 |
| 25th | 0.013% | 13 |
| 26th | 0.003% | 3 |
| 27th | 0.002% | 2 |
| 28th | 0.003% | 3 |
| 29th | 0% | 0 |
| 30th | 0% | 0 |
| 31st | 0% | 0 |
| 32nd | 0% | 0 |
| 33rd | 0% | 0 |
| 34th | 0% | 0 |
| 35th | 0% | 0 |
| 36th | 0% | 0 |
- Top eight · Direct round of 16
- 88.94%
- Knockout play-off · Places 9–24
- 11.04%
- Eliminated · Places 25–36
- 0.02%
- Average league-phase points
- 18.63
- Round of 1697.28%
- Quarter-finals64.3%
- Semi-finals34.06%
- Final16.17%
- Winner7.22%