Club coefficient125.5002021/22–2025/26 · Preseason reference
2026/27 · League phase2 W 0 D 1 LRecord from 3 loaded completed matches
England contribution2026/27 · Current European campaign
1.111League-phase entry+0.667
Win vs Porto+0.222
Win vs Porto+0.222Predictions
UCL · 2026/27
Remaining matches
2026/27
Data:
Single-match chances for Manchester City from the selected simulation snapshot.
- Listed away · Venue unconfirmed
RB Leipzig · Listed homeManchester City · Listed away- Win
- 70.66%
- Draw
- 16.2%
- Loss
- 13.15%
- xPTS
- 2.28
- Listed home · Venue unconfirmedManchester City · Listed home
Napoli · Listed away- Win
- 66.55%
- Draw
- 18.19%
- Loss
- 15.26%
- xPTS
- 2.18
- Listed away · Venue unconfirmed
Barcelona · Listed homeManchester City · Listed away- Win
- 43.31%
- Draw
- 20.19%
- Loss
- 36.51%
- xPTS
- 1.5
- Listed away · Venue unconfirmed
Lens · Listed homeManchester City · Listed away- Win
- 65.98%
- Draw
- 18.29%
- Loss
- 15.73%
- xPTS
- 2.16
- Listed home · Venue unconfirmedManchester City · Listed home
Sporting CP · Listed away- Win
- 53.02%
- Draw
- 21.57%
- Loss
- 25.41%
- xPTS
- 1.81
- Expected league-phase points (xPTS)
- 15.93
Where is Manchester City likely to finish in the league phase?
UCL · Predictions
64% chance of a Top 8 finish — straight to the round of 16.
Simulated seasons (%)
Most likely finish4th · 9.4%
Average finishAbout 8th
Final league-phase finish position
About 8 in 10 finish 1st–12th
Forecast details
Exact average: 7.72484
1st–12th covers 83.804% of simulations. A shortest consecutive range covering at least 80%; the average combines all outcomes.
ClubRanker Predictions · 100,000 simulations
Sporting snapshot:
Generated:
Run 7ffc8344-0b33-431d-9164-763470184936
Zero occurrences means not observed in these simulations, not mathematically impossible.
Team-official disciplinary data is partially approximated.
| Position | Chance | Simulated seasons |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4.468% | 4,468 |
| 2nd | 7.522% | 7,522 |
| 3rd | 8.961% | 8,961 |
| 4th | 9.406% | 9,406 |
| 5th | 9.262% | 9,262 |
| 6th | 8.893% | 8,893 |
| 7th | 8.238% | 8,238 |
| 8th | 7.335% | 7,335 |
| 9th | 5.986% | 5,986 |
| 10th | 5.25% | 5,250 |
| 11th | 4.578% | 4,578 |
| 12th | 3.905% | 3,905 |
| 13th | 3.269% | 3,269 |
| 14th | 2.632% | 2,632 |
| 15th | 2.025% | 2,025 |
| 16th | 1.689% | 1,689 |
| 17th | 1.423% | 1,423 |
| 18th | 1.15% | 1,150 |
| 19th | 0.939% | 939 |
| 20th | 0.799% | 799 |
| 21st | 0.591% | 591 |
| 22nd | 0.438% | 438 |
| 23rd | 0.333% | 333 |
| 24th | 0.26% | 260 |
| 25th | 0.186% | 186 |
| 26th | 0.136% | 136 |
| 27th | 0.115% | 115 |
| 28th | 0.09% | 90 |
| 29th | 0.047% | 47 |
| 30th | 0.036% | 36 |
| 31st | 0.023% | 23 |
| 32nd | 0.007% | 7 |
| 33rd | 0.006% | 6 |
| 34th | 0.002% | 2 |
| 35th | 0% | 0 |
| 36th | 0% | 0 |
- Top eight · Direct round of 16
- 64.09%
- Knockout play-off · Places 9–24
- 35.27%
- Eliminated · Places 25–36
- 0.65%
- Average league-phase points
- 15.93
- Round of 1693.13%
- Quarter-finals67.65%
- Semi-finals43.68%
- Final26.29%
- Winner14.37%